NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013b3e9b1cb4cef2a17e6d986c6699ec5365791df0974f74dcb39d4b9c06db93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Under | 70c | 14,825$10,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,341.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 14,532$7,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,063.83 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ed…c1e5backed Over | 56c | 5,993$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 47c | 5,827$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 32c | 5,794$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 5,135$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.4 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 4,653$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.13 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 67c | 4,293$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.1 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 47c | 4,209$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.88 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Under | 6c | 3,867$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 63c | 3,334$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.14 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 3,152$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.22 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.98 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 2,629$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 58c | 2,500$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,467$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.07 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 2,306$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.17 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 36c | 2,213$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.33 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 2,180$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.1 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…d061backed Over | 35c | 1,944$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 1,738$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.92 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 46c | 1,488$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.31 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Over | 34c | 1,456$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 37c | 1,258$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 58c | 1,200$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.98 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,186$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.52 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 55c | 1,155$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.79 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 1,107$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.71 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 1,058$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.28 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 67c | 1,015$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.74 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 76c | 1,006$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 947.81$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.7 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 50c | 908.7$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Over | 50c | 908.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.26 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 898.86$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.34 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Under | 45c | 888.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 40c | 877.05$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.46 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 45c | 874.19$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 37c | 813.19$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 7c | 800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 55c | 785.2$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Under | 68c | 736.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 697.09$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.5 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 67c | 669.4$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Under | 62c | 609.49$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 596.55$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 57c | 588.28$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 68c | 584.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 6c | 550$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 6c | 550$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Under | 22c | 533.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 531.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 517.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 49c | 499.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 43c | 485.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 483.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 56c | 472$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.91 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 45c | 456.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 6c | 440$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 6c | 440$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 47c | 434.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Under | 27c | 430.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…cb5dbacked Under | 52c | 429.46$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 51c | 423.53$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…d5f3backed Under | 53c | 411.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 20c | 403.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 6c | 403$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 24c | 399.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 392.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 379.88$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 379$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 49c | 369$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 50c | 368.26$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 22c | 362.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 330$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 64c | 313.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…cc19backed Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 32c | 278.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Under | 54c | 265.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 264.71$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Under | 52c | 261$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 56c | 260.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Over | 51c | 252.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 243.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 40c | 241.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 5c | 229.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.