TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,836 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes60c833.67$500 inLost-$5003060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No41c462.33$190 inWon+$272.161,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No40c443.67$177 inWon+$266.22,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739a…f78abacked No44c142.38$63 inWon+$79.731650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No41c109.09$45 inWon+$6443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes53c107.47$57 inLost-$57.3940053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes54c90.41$49 inLost-$48.94942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes30c75.11$23 inLost-$22.7542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No47c51.1$24 inWon+$26.9985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked No69c50.72$35 inWon+$15.7211347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed No52c49.99$26 inWon+$2441227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost-$2066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b29backed Yes56c37.02$21 inLost-$20.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…ed19backed Yes56c36.68$21 inLost-$20.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa839…6f8cbacked Yes56c34.78$19 inLost-$19.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes58c34.28$20 inLost-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…1805backed Yes56c34.19$19 inLost-$19.151250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7385…0199backed Yes59c33.72$20 inLost-$204864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No44c30$13 inWon+$16.841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes54c27.78$15 inLost-$1552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705a…3a34backed Yes55c27.29$15 inLost-$14.9460%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes47c25.42$12 inLost-$1227539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Yes56c22.59$13 inLost-$12.657261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No49c20.69$10 inWon+$10.4933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No51c20$10 inWon+$9.83066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3056…2b09backed Yes53c20$11 inLost-$10.640%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes54c18.75$10 inLost-$10.1311852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.