TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks40c13,384$5,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,964.3718651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers59c12,549$7,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,403.841,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Cavaliers58c8,191$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.5914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks61c8,008$4,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.2428056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Knicks42c8,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Knicks41c6,888$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,063.917147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cavaliers38c5,130$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.119650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers59c3,900$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Cavaliers61c3,281$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers58c1,788$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.2869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks41c1,781$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cavaliers32c1,553$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.6317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers39c1,254$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.981,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Knicks41c1,014$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.17445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Cavaliers59c754.32$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.055339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers58c734.92$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Knicks41c705$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.953565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers38c642.62$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Knicks41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Knicks78c435.68$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1924159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers59c420$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked Cavaliers46c415.25$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.021533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Knicks51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19623652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Cavaliers60c372.23$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3413759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Knicks42c361.44$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.64614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Cavaliers60c332.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Cavaliers49c318.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.685944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Knicks40c313.87$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3214039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Knicks61c303.33$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bb…8d44backed Knicks41c291.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Knicks62c263.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.973467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Knicks41c244.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.13943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Cavaliers50c242$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.163455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Knicks42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Cavaliers39c236.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.46152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed Cavaliers39c230.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Cavaliers60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Knicks40c178.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0314338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks42c162.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Knicks40c149.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014940.3%60 W · 89 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Cavaliers33c131.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2725039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks40c131$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Cavaliers39c126.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.769941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Knicks41c119.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Knicks41c115.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.246346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Cavaliers59c109.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.896750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers36c106.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Knicks53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.924936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Knicks42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers58c98.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2817247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Knicks41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Knicks67c89.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6715048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks54c89.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks41c71.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3915759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks39c67.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.312,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers41c66.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.131,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks41c63.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks49c60.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae40…9edabacked Cavaliers59c60.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Cavaliers60c56.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Cavaliers59c44.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Cavaliers51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1598…2dfabacked Cavaliers47c42.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Cavaliers61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Cavaliers59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Cavaliers60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Cavaliers59c32.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf8…3c36backed Knicks62c32.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f7…ef5bbacked Knicks78c31.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Knicks41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.737848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339c…9559backed Cavaliers60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f1c…cb5dbacked Cavaliers58c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Cavaliers52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…77dabacked Knicks40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Cavaliers60c20.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a5…34f9backed Knicks62c17.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.822040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.