NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2240afca1770d9ee92b50efccd87a6dba0b160d7049d72ebd287a5e9849b2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 631.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.61 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 59c | 576.27$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…753cbacked No | 46c | 353.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 42c | 293.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 206.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…50b2backed Yes | 57c | 175.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 60c | 164.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 75c | 130.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 41c | 119.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 58c | 85.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 82.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 42c | 79.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 42c | 51.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 40c | 48.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 39c | 42.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 59c | 42.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…283ebacked Yes | 60c | 40.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 41c | 34.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e652backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…a853backed No | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 43 | 93%40 W · 3 L | +12.5wins | +0.29per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked No | 62c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 58 | 87.9%51 W · 7 L | +13.6wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 55c | 28.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…a7c3backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 55c | 22.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…ef41backed Yes | 58c | 22.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…0860backed Yes | 60c | 19.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.