NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5de88739f9faa80412541f6adeade63805f1225d77d5262022e146ad0df7f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 22c | 5,313$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 78c | 2,742$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 78c | 2,695$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 12c | 2,679$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.36 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 26c | 2,382$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.19 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 19c | 2,032$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 1,835$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.73 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 23c | 1,813$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 77c | 1,560$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 76c | 1,507$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.48 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 76c | 1,309$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Under | 6c | 1,230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 26c | 1,228$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 19c | 959.64$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 6c | 899$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 831.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 28c | 755.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 24c | 734.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Over | 77c | 712.5$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…7aafbacked Over | 76c | 654.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 2c | 619.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 527.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 24c | 508.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c79cbacked Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 23c | 496.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 23c | 464.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Over | 78c | 433.24$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 77c | 415.58$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 13c | 401.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Over | 79c | 335.72$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 77c | 320.22$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 12c | 289.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 251.26$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 22c | 240.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…4714backed Over | 74c | 214.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 76c | 212$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 23c | 210.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 24c | 209.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 22c | 200.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…0faebacked Over | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 19c | 152.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 78c | 137.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 78c | 100.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 84.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 24c | 72.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 78c | 52.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 24c | 44.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…21a9backed Over | 77c | 27.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…da91backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…aa0abacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…c903backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…9a20backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6e…6e40backed Over | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Over | 78c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…12d9backed Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…41cbbacked Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…4b4bbacked Over | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…97b7backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd993…208bbacked Over | 79c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.