TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c28,952$13,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,332.3969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c11,772$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.31,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.9934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c7,220$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.717963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c7,156$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c5,617$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.121,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under45c5,535$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c4,747$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.4264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under7c3,622$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over71c3,367$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.5152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under46c3,130$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over59c3,014$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.821,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under63c3,004$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.0624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c2,850$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.9952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over52c2,798$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.130551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c2,650$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.391,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under58c2,563$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.932763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c2,127$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.0863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c2,113$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c2,042$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.1455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over58c1,764$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.5393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over53c1,722$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.4620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under57c1,593$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.985971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over55c1,556$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.891,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9917147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c1,384$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c1,317$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over55c1,207$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.857233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c1,098$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.071,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over41c1,005$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1420155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c1,001$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over51c981$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.572,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over61c936$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.991,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under54c900$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4844652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over58c868.81$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under38c853.07$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.174738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over68c808.82$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8232952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c752.21$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.661,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Under60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under43c683.07$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Under62c646$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.526547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c636$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.572,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c597.15$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under39c552.98$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over40c525$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over38c523.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.041250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over57c491.23$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2318853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over60c466.26$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…5962backed Under48c399.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over35c387$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9113747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Under61c378.79$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0613759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.647441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Under7c362.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.353237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over61c326.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over69c290.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.410757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under43c279.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1624949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7812548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over42c269.62$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.531747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Under41c245.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006734.3%23 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over41c244.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c217.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over60c214.4$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over39c210.48$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over37c205.46$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over56c197$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under58c190.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e4f…2510backed Under62c175.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.763852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c168.6$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over41c167.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.565152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over60c165.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2625958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c150.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under45c148.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under46c143.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c143.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under41c134.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.263537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over61c130.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.322755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over47c129.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under46c129.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011259.8%67 W · 45 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under29c108$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under41c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7817…8812backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over49c98.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0527553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under42c97.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4145445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f72…b128backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over60c89.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under17c89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over67c85.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.572958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025666.8%171 W · 85 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.