TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5605…5962

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$180.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$162.94
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$177
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.51
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+240.2%+$236.88
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$175.25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.81
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.17
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Devin Badenhorstbacked Giles Hussey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.9
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alex Martinezbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$92.9
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.4
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.7
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.67
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.3
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.99
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.42
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$174.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$68.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.