WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d407291200dfc9c19f864e7107e1bdfa992497a42257658161fc399f3c8dad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 47c | 23,900$11,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,351.8 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Over | 55c | 23,381$12,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 20,008$10,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.13 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 12,620$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.44 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 49c | 8,939$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.78 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 48c | 8,875$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 49c | 5,959$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.18 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 45c | 5,954$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.27 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 4,022$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 48c | 3,762$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 3,579$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.72 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 48c | 2,881$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 47c | 1,698$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 1,261$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.45 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 837.61$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.62 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 763.43$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 656.76$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 23c | 648.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 587.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 581.9$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 68c | 429.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 47c | 351.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 56c | 339.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 310.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 309.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…5962backed Under | 56c | 306.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Over | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 52c | 257.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 48c | 255$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 47c | 138.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 44c | 121.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 34c | 119.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 44c | 115.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Over | 48c | 104.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 11c | 103.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Under | 49c | 101.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 59c | 84.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 44c | 84.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 61c | 80.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Under | 48c | 77.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 71.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 70.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 47c | 63.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 44c | 55.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 50.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 65c | 46.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 57c | 42.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 52c | 42.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 53c | 41.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 68c | 41.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 40.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 37.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 40c | 31.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 43cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 28.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…b9e4backed Under | 52c | 26.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Over | 52c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 47c | 22.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 51c | 20.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.