WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e703b4f741bf310550adafc371b78656373d219b2b64e8af472137e45b9989f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 15,236$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.64 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 13,334$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.68 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over | 51c | 8,163$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 2,292$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Under | 48c | 1,959$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,765$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.86 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,320$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.49 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 988.24$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 51c | 631.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 487$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 22c | 68.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 56c | 62.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 50c | 53.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 49c | 50.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Under | 56c | 46.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 50c | 44.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 24.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 47c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 50c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…e1a6backed Over | 51c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 52c | 19.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 43cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 53c | 18.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.