WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d62139c1eb6337996eaed47e8c13f98c30f7b1cf7797fb548b6fef55d4b803c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,095$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.1 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Over | 57c | 1,340$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 1,218$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.55 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 1,031$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 449.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 50c | 382.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 267$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 77c | 261.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 160.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 27c | 159.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 19c | 87.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 49c | 57.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 56.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Over | 57c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 48c | 22.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.