Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8631796108d561da8496104b51ea3ddc345e2954e7bd8f899d58d1f79accd03d

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,104,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $943,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,104,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	42c	61,866$26,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,687.49	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	8c	34,222$2,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,620.36	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	14c	32,175$4,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,765.37	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	20c	23,676$4,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,931.63	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	41c	16,971$6,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,986.09	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	79c	15,700$12,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,354.43	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	23c	15,099$3,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,568.73	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	14,568$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,088.69	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	26c	13,402$3,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,958.21	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	26c	11,723$3,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,670.2	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	21c	10,511$2,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,288.08	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	33c	9,962$3,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,695.46	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	9,110$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,236.37	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	9,022$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,014.13	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	8c	8,836$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,166.96	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	5c	8,743$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.4	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	8,688$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,897.79	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	5c	8,110$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,743.5	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	7c	7,781$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,236.38	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	26c	7,458$1,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,554.28	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	28c	7,000$1,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,026.35	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	10c	6,700$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,054	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	13c	6,500$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,639.51	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	6,031$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,015.68	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	22c	5,869$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,595.33	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	21c	5,754$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,562.08	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	20c	5,593$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,458.78	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	2c	5,590$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.9	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed No	68c	5,285$3,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,604.58	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	0c	5,248$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	39c	5,222$2,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,041.55	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	4c	5,000$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,776	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	12c	4,827$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,269	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	69c	4,695$3,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.33	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	31c	4,512$1,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,127.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	18c	4,470$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,664.4	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	11c	4,230$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,766.87	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	32c	4,148$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,823.11	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea2…2d33backed No	28c	4,134$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.91	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	10c	3,994$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,578.6	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	22c	3,797$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,951.32	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No	71c	3,769$2,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,679.24	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	41c	3,746$1,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,215.1	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	12c	3,574$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128.44	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	5c	3,500$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,325	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked No	1c	3,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	3,485$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,182.58	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	73c	3,484$2,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.59	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	13c	3,408$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,968.18	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	3,220$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,868.95	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	27c	3,164$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,296.05	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…0cc2backed Yes	8c	3,117$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.06	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+157.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	13c	2,947$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,578.03	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	35c	2,938$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.01	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	23c	2,908$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,229.72	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes	42c	2,900$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,677.68	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	14c	2,853$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,452.93	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	2,823$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,619.61	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…3e72backed Yes	71c	2,746$1,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be3…44a5backed Yes	7c	2,708$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,518.66	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	31c	2,581$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785.21	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	50c	2,558$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.76	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	43c	2,539$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.46	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	8c	2,535$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320.31	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	17c	2,514$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,087.22	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	30c	2,510$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,746.77	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes	50c	2,504$1,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.62	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	76c	2,500$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.01	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,500$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,383	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes	11c	2,473$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,210.74	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	21c	2,300$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,807.62	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab6…36f3backed No	67c	2,292$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.81	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	2,268$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.51	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa340…f3d4backed Yes	40c	2,238$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,337.69	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+358.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	8c	2,143$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,971.47	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	17c	2,078$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,728.54	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No	63c	1,924$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.99	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	36c	1,918$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.16	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	40c	1,902$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.66	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	33c	1,887$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.06	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	1,809$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,677.92	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	63c	1,806$1,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.42	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	74c	1,806$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.56	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	1c	1,777$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xaf4f…eb7ebacked Yes	17c	1,666$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.04	218	27.1%59 W · 159 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5f…356abacked Yes	23c	1,630$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.97	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.37per pick	35cpaid	+239.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	7c	1,574$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.35	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	62c	1,500$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.5	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f6…f3d6backed No	66c	1,500$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	36c	1,493$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.17	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa99…fd3fbacked No	75c	1,481$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.19	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	77cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	12c	1,448$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.76	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	69c	1,448$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.44	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	18c	1,403$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.61	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	10c	1,400$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,254.69	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	33c	1,378$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.74	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	68c	1,377$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.1	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	15c	1,373$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.6	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c06…a2b8backed Yes	18c	1,344$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.47	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	77c	1,262$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.64	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event