Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28124f95318a90b028d434661334b8f7fd0f849a30d9fe520f302dc24e18a172

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $985,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $509,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $985,520 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	111,356$3,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,253.87	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	1c	102,458$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.46	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	0c	60,000$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.73	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	37,192$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.75	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes	0c	29,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	25,756$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.94	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ea…62c5backed Yes	6c	23,297$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.66	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	29cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	22,284$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	14,815$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.11	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	0c	12,667$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	5c	11,856$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.48	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3353…c35abacked Yes	0c	11,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3879…d8c3backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	10,703$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.18	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	8c	9,756$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.64	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	5c	8,393$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.94	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Yes	9c	8,012$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.32	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a6f…bee5backed Yes	0c	6,405$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	8c	6,405$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.96	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac2…a3f6backed Yes	0c	6,231$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	3c	5,879$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.25	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	4c	5,704$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.3	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	2c	5,555$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.28	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes	1c	4,762$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.29	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d8d…b8f8backed Yes	3c	4,368$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.68	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	3cpaid	+708.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	10c	4,100$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.6	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	2c	4,085$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.79	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	9c	4,075$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,066$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	0c	3,758$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	11c	3,521$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.85	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb85…9157backed Yes	0c	3,395$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	3,325$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.49	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…f034backed Yes	7c	3,323$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	5c	3,175$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.73	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	2,860$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.24	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	2,837$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Yes	5c	2,647$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.89	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,643$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.53	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4b…cfe4backed Yes	4c	2,560$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	2,545$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.08	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	3c	2,504$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.37	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x752a…cbcfbacked Yes	7c	2,225$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	6c	2,192$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.25	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	11c	2,067$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.34	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	2,014$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.63	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	14c	2,000$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.65	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…854abacked Yes	6c	2,000$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	1c	1,824$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…019ebacked Yes	13c	1,760$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…2d86backed Yes	6c	1,746$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.73	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	7c	1,705$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.51	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…39dbbacked Yes	3c	1,671$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.58	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	10c	1,650$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.3	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	11c	1,621$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.28	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	3c	1,620$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes	6c	1,620$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.89	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f13…1631backed Yes	9c	1,618$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.37	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	2c	1,607$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.06	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3de…c4f9backed Yes	4c	1,479$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	4c	1,423$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.37	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	5c	1,326$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	1,300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20b…9881backed Yes	5c	1,300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.18	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	11c	1,299$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.9	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69b…24c4backed Yes	1c	1,228$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb936…a6a6backed Yes	4c	1,200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Yes	1c	1,161$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	96	61.5%59 W · 37 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	6c	1,114$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.73	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf82f…8137backed Yes	10c	1,023$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddc…a89dbacked Yes	10c	957.41$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	11c	925.84$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.4	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	6c	838.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	779.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	6c	749.52$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.17	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	8c	723.3$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.31	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	7c	715.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.73	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a6…e06abacked Yes	7c	699.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	8c	670.27$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.16	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes	8c	665$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.82	100	24%24 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed Yes	8c	664.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.09	195	27.7%54 W · 141 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	6c	632.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	612.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43d…3978backed Yes	6c	599.86$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.61	200	25%50 W · 150 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…f60cbacked Yes	3c	543.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	164	20.7%34 W · 130 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	3c	530$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes	5c	528.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes	11c	509.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.55	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x470b…0d90backed Yes	5c	503.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	22cpaid	+80.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc4…cc49backed Yes	8c	480.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.59	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Yes	12c	420.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a79…e2afbacked Yes	10c	413.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd805…9eaabacked Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3924…ee05backed Yes	5c	380$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes	7c	374.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event