TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x42a0…3762

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$67.85
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$42.86
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+603.3%+$209.81
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$44.67
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.3
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$59.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$38.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.7
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$73
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$132.22
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$16.76
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.6%+$40.07
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$43.46
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+501.4%+$1,250.58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.75
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$86.22
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.1
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.65
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.92
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.09
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$10.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.71
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35%+$22.93
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.92
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+99%+$19.9
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.64
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$16.2
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
All 22 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$16.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$21.53
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$64.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.6%+$76.4
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+103.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$130.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$68
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$87.3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$7.98
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.91
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.1%+$56.57
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$47.69
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.44
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58.55
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$20.25
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$32.97
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.8%+$22.3
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.17
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.46
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$122.42
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.7%+$4.22
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.3%+$88.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$29.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.5%+$12.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.