Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a82344b10b98ef371f09bdb08044e65929f8ac98af63e8dd2d5897c548b4e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 79c | 8,549$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.57 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 7,292$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.08 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 4,940$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.81 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 76c | 4,658$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.15 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 29c | 4,636$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…d5f1backed Yes | 23c | 3,909$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,716$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 14c | 2,564$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 18c | 2,416$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 27c | 2,093$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.71 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 2,058$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.74 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 12c | 1,960$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…b24ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,868$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…71dfbacked No | 69c | 1,702$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 74c | 1,602$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 41c | 1,564$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,493$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,368$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,234$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…d1acbacked Yes | 26c | 1,222$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 17c | 1,220$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked No | 79c | 1,181$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 18c | 1,169$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed No | 79c | 1,148$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 21c | 1,125$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed No | 79c | 1,079$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 74c | 1,050$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.72 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 21c | 1,003$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…2f6cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…165cbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…92b7backed No | 77c | 982.33$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed No | 74c | 978.92$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed No | 76c | 977.22$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 71c | 959.65$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 25c | 937.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.51 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 22c | 919.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 908.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…215fbacked Yes | 15c | 885$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed No | 79c | 861.62$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked No | 66c | 833.77$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 20c | 824.17$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3593…6a91backed Yes | 19c | 809.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 22c | 743.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…5b08backed Yes | 5c | 724.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 21c | 718.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 26c | 690.82$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…6f8cbacked Yes | 40c | 664.85$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…105bbacked No | 57c | 660$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…5320backed Yes | 43c | 660$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…a67dbacked No | 70c | 655.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked No | 73c | 649.93$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes | 16c | 633.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be1…67aebacked Yes | 32c | 630$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…e3fdbacked No | 68c | 630$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 30c | 619.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 24c | 608.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 78c | 599.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 20c | 599.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 57c | 595$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 18c | 563.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…32bcbacked No | 69c | 561.84$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 69c | 539.08$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…c850backed Yes | 16c | 538.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…d9dbbacked No | 70c | 537.56$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 535.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 72c | 526.72$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 29c | 520.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 31c | 516.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Yes | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 495.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 32c | 471.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 19c | 459.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 79c | 456.41$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed No | 78c | 450.48$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 443.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 8c | 434.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 433.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 63c | 430$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…6b43backed Yes | 17c | 425.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 21c | 413$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 406.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 31c | 402.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…f545backed Yes | 6c | 396$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 64c | 393.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 13c | 393.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +411%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 12c | 385.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 63c | 374.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 76c | 374.82$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 29c | 373.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 40c | 372.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 69c | 355$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cad…642dbacked Yes | 28c | 354.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.