TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94b0…9d34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$763
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$47.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$38.15
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.99
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$609
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$248.08
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$403.27
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.9
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$388.65
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.69
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$643.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$118.31
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.15
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+166%+$486.6
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$491.76
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+934.5%+$812.97
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$360
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.78
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$834.48
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$103
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$43.41
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$495.98
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will SOFR hit 3.72% (High) between March 1 and March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.70–2.80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$56.5
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–2.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.8%+$755.81
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106.07
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$418.06
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+106.7%+$263.55
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$68.58
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$145.3
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$137.9
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+950.7%+$3,195.65
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$91.06
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.09
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$321.11
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$103.36
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.99
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+27%+$134.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.5%+$29.02
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.5%+$38.25
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+164.9%+$32.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$82.91
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$634.77
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$406.8
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+31.2%+$101.08
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$115.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.8%+$226.13
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27%+$244.08
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191.2
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.93
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.83
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+76%+$228.13
Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+185.7%+$310.33
Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$134.4
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70.75
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.7%+$398.67
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$221.78
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+128.4%+$64.19
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$85.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$246
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.