Us Politics · resolved market
Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a14b29f9481eb8a4f06b3d204881a2e2df34daf98bdf8f9af99403525683f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb011…d5dabacked No | 10c | 18,405$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 11,386$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…c748backed No | 60c | 9,138$5,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 57c | 8,430$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 7,546$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 30c | 7,023$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.87 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 3c | 5,511$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 41c | 5,390$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.99 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 41c | 5,146$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.74 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 2c | 5,122$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 49c | 4,833$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.39 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 43c | 4,230$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…0203backed Yes | 35c | 3,614$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 61c | 3,427$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.54 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 78c | 3,225$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.91 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 73c | 3,048$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.11 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…ca22backed No | 1c | 2,284$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 75c | 2,255$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.65 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 60c | 2,191$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.78 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…9f36backed No | 3c | 2,005$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 22c | 1,971$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.09 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 1,633$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.02 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd14b…3357backed No | 10c | 1,536$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 42c | 1,450$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.01 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 11c | 1,309$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,283$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed No | 4c | 1,266$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 29c | 1,173$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,030$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.26 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…5124backed Yes | 41c | 1,014$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…7cfbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 13c | 963.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 10c | 831.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 7c | 800.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…3b08backed No | 9c | 787.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed No | 18c | 734.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…ea2cbacked No | 61c | 620$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked No | 79c | 600$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 40c | 590.45$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 17c | 570.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 18c | 542$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 4c | 524.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 19c | 505$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…3016backed Yes | 30c | 475.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…5487backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 412.19$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 65c | 400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 357$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 21c | 350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…88cebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…f4ddbacked No | 36c | 320.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…4325backed Yes | 25c | 318.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 312.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.63 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 7c | 282$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 18c | 275.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 47c | 275$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…dca1backed No | 6c | 270$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 20c | 253$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 67c | 248$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 40c | 232.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b6…da4fbacked Yes | 27c | 204.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…b847backed No | 76c | 200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 30c | 199.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…bb36backed Yes | 26c | 195.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 52c | 194.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 19c | 188.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…4a57backed No | 9c | 167.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…cbf7backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 55c | 162.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…be21backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 31c | 140$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…6c48backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…1f99backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 79c | 120$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 12c | 116.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 78c | 111$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 39c | 101.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…97a1backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…c824backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…1b1cbacked Yes | 54c | 98.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…433bbacked No | 65c | 92.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…82d2backed No | 25c | 91.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3724backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.