TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0735…005d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6832.4%22 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$3,698.98
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,315.7
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.02
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$149.56
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+401.8%+$401.76
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+275.7%+$13,710.92
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$248.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.82
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+489.3%+$3,930.3
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$344.81
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,206.03
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+625%+$624.96
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+327.8%+$2,952.6
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+383.7%+$1,791.85
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,658Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$2,823.61
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.89
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$2,703.7
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+397.5%+$5,803.29
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.6
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$178.2
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97
US military action on Yemen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the U.S. take over Gaza before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.7
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.74
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$394.3
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+269.4%+$2,694.68
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US military action against Iran by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
U.S. forces in Gaza before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.61
Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+420.6%+$408
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.91
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$615.97
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Maduro out in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$93.72
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+26.8%+$50.3
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+98.4%+$492.47
Will Mahamudu Bawumia be the next President of Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$18.19
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+176.3%+$108.39
Will the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$199.2
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,280.48
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$196.68
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$89.76
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+366.6%+$3,277.73
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$196.68
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.14
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.99
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$562.23
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.08
Polish strike on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$173.28
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+284.1%+$1,019.12
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$103.1
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+549.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+549.9%+$1,699.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+506.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+506.6%+$202.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+316.7%+$97.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.9%+$93.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.