Venezuela · resolved market
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20eb008e614c013274107d205ddfc4971d5b63210fc32332896f8f80b323a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 6,932$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0f6ebacked Yes | 36c | 6,800$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 42c | 6,443$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 35c | 6,327$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,121$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 8c | 3,913$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +565%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 3,876$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 67c | 3,776$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 5c | 3,557$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…840dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,958$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…5f52backed No | 69c | 2,120$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 69c | 1,927$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,575$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 71c | 1,371$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,330$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.33 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 37c | 1,316$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 65c | 1,265$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 34c | 1,261$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.79 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 66c | 1,121$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 60c | 1,026$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 11c | 1,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 32c | 963.13$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 37c | 948$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…aa40backed No | 61c | 938.54$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 65c | 917.35$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 908.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…5b80backed No | 54c | 904.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 22c | 875$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed No | 49c | 819.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 61c | 805.17$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 68c | 799.96$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 67c | 783.49$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 59c | 768.74$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 28c | 635.71$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 28c | 600.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 53c | 565.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 27c | 562$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 550.12$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…960bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…690abacked No | 62c | 480$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed No | 66c | 464$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed No | 57c | 438.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 74c | 407.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 405.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 35c | 375$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 60c | 367$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 42c | 365.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 29c | 345.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 67c | 344.42$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 62c | 341.17$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…2effbacked No | 65c | 336.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed No | 61c | 306.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 33c | 300.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 29c | 299.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…1aabbacked Yes | 30c | 271.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…5e48backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…6dfabacked No | 73c | 255$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 44c | 251.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 32c | 235.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…a53ebacked No | 65c | 231.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…0a39backed Yes | 33c | 229.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 68c | 222.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 46c | 202.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…2cdbbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc050…067dbacked Yes | 31c | 193.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 64c | 189.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 60c | 186.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 27c | 184.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 74c | 182.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 69c | 162.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 78c | 155.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 26c | 154.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +163.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…269ebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 63c | 151.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed No | 67c | 149.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 71c | 149$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 68c | 146.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…c6d9backed Yes | 35c | 142.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 140.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…1f67backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed No | 73c | 136.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…a16abacked No | 73c | 134.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 40c | 130.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…da0bbacked No | 69c | 123.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…d61cbacked Yes | 32c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 31c | 108.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…b6cabacked No | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.