TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79ad…a9f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
395
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Music, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Music at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT8328.9%24 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$445.95
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+372.2%+$200.04
Will Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$48.73
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$185.45
Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.89
Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92%+$14.98
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$63.41
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+32.4%+$42.28
Will PUSC win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$841.75
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,224.54
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$299.99
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$226.62
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$141.21
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$829.12
Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,035.61
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$173.27
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+342%+$61.9
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.8%+$12
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+33.7%+$212.46
Will JA21 win fewer than 9 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.13
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7330.1%22 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+336.9%+$121.95
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.12
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+471.1%+$918.23
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.25
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+246.4%+$75.07
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$376.06
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$577.19
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,572Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+95.2%+$1,496.54
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$127.94
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,508Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+130.9%+$7,212.09
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.84
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$205.74
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.46
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$497.94
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$260.74
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$306.87
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+270.4%+$67.67
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+185.7%+$87.28
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+41.9%+$131.12
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.7%+$4,597.36
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$285.07
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.44
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.08
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,136.17
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.75
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29%+$45
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.9%+$51.92
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$75.9
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$143.64
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.74
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$130.36
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,041.34
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,647Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+57.2%+$1,513.32
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,641Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+53.5%+$1,411.94
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+32.4%+$233.52
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$416.35
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+451.5%+$426.42
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$505
Will Tim Walz announce Senate run before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,632Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,343.96
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$330.64
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,909Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+200.2%+$5,824.09
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.52
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.82
Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.9%+$11.43
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+103.8%+$15.65
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$25.86
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.71
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$886.86
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+57%+$334.74
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$580
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 3+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+136.6%+$74.85
Will Taylor Swift say "Poet" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Will Taylor Swift say "Baby" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+114%+$117.2
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+157.1%+$70.89
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$208.88
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.79
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+359.7%+$275.43
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.26
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$108
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$456
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37.6%+$61.72
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$159.92
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.82
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$183.16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,291.74
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+298.8%+$183.48
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.8
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+77%+$17.4
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$59.52
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$567.47
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.44
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+136.4%+$860.86
Will the US sanction Russia before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$81
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.43
Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$309.29
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win the HLTV Team of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.07
Will m0NESY finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.97
Will MOUZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.69
Will Liquid win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Aurora win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+426.8%+$1,602.35
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.99
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,007.85
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$630
Will Natus Vincere win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.08
Will The MongolZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will Falcons win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.5
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+122.6%+$509.57
Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Will Falcons win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will MOUZ win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.54
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$371.42
Will Spirit win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$126.21
Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.38
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56.87
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$739.97
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49.21
Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$265.45
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+62.3%+$54.9
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.35
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 7 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+41.5%+$8.8
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 9 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49.76
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+38.5%+$13.72
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+32.9%+$54.56
Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+53.5%+$45.3
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Family Ties"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+28.6%+$17.8
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+30.9%+$65.85
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+38.8%+$160.48
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will The Weeknd perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+57%+$14.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,580
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+116%+$1,005.22
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$104.39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$13.01
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+742.4%+$112.09
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Assad public appearance before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+25.3%+$6.43
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+32.6%+$122.52
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$168.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54.15
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$304.08
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$926.52
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+27.7%+$1,431.64
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+50.6%+$140.17
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25.8%+$5.12
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44.3
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.44
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$137.8
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$61.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.55
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.87
Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+37.2%+$80.03
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$37.2
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$19.84
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$46.74
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.68
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+30.7%+$27.25
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.96
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$82.53
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+97.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Will the fight end in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$76.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.83
Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ye banned on X in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+27.8%+$66.68
Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$146.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.