Music · resolved market
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e4eb42e455ee1d0019026adc9e817ab04148e721a26f3f1f1f5da70c75c014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 67c | 7,904$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,030$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked Yes | 53c | 3,809$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 38c | 2,530$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 41c | 2,296$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.55 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 28c | 2,141$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed No | 63c | 2,063$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,987$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 25c | 1,842$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.53 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 46c | 1,763$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 42c | 1,654$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,400$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 39c | 1,377$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed No | 70c | 1,024$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…1bf7backed Yes | 34c | 989.04$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 66c | 861.8$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…9aefbacked Yes | 34c | 741.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 65c | 637.82$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 53c | 511.83$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…7935backed Yes | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 45c | 403.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a3f4backed Yes | 51c | 368.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 68c | 360$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9219backed No | 58c | 352.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 56c | 333$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 34c | 323.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 42c | 318.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 66c | 303.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed No | 50c | 300.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…598abacked Yes | 38c | 289.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…60e5backed Yes | 34c | 275.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 41c | 240.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 73c | 234$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…1d41backed Yes | 43c | 232.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…74b6backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 37c | 213.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed No | 67c | 212$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +203.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked No | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 198.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…4fcfbacked Yes | 37c | 135.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…5c8bbacked Yes | 47c | 128.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…1e35backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 40c | 125.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee6…c838backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…bab3backed Yes | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 117$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…3c0ebacked Yes | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 45c | 110.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…469bbacked Yes | 63c | 107.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…b99cbacked No | 58c | 107.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 107.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…000fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…bf35backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…8e1cbacked Yes | 46c | 65.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 56c | 62.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b3…1620backed No | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 59c | 55.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 42c | 54.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 59c | 52.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…4d43backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…0e99backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…cb17backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…8569backed Yes | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…08fcbacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097d…83f6backed Yes | 44c | 45.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 37c | 43.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…c4a5backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…4411backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…a830backed No | 49c | 29.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…6ec6backed Yes | 37c | 27.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia win Intervision 2025?this page
- Will Azerbaijan win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Brazil win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will China win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Colombia win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Cuba win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Egypt win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will India win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Kazakhstan win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Kyrgyzstan win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Qatar win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will South Africa win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Tajikistan win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will United States win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Venezuela win Intervision 2025?No won
- Will Vietnam win Intervision 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.