TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ac2…4fcf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst Earnings at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.86
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+293.5%+$38.15
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Brewers vs. Cardinalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+150%+$750
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$994.77
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.