World Politics · resolved market
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51f2db5996c86c3fdbac6d67d0fdead997d959ce0d86bad5203d16ee746da17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,602,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,831,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,602,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 974 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 1c | 61,437$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…40edbacked No | 23c | 48,577$11,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,172.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…6466backed Yes | 77c | 48,577$37,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,172.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 31,807$12,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,552.68 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 26,121$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…4fbfbacked Yes | 60c | 24,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 0c | 23,395$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 16,065$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.13 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…c9ebbacked Yes | 60c | 14,566$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,877.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…8205backed Yes | 64c | 13,988$8,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 67c | 12,970$8,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 31c | 12,356$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 46c | 11,889$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed No | 31c | 10,948$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…d4bcbacked Yes | 46c | 10,852$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…6feabacked No | 1c | 10,300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…adefbacked Yes | 59c | 10,133$5,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…71fdbacked No | 2c | 9,430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a38…8b70backed Yes | 79c | 9,413$7,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…4a07backed Yes | 60c | 9,224$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…ff6bbacked Yes | 68c | 7,570$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…032dbacked Yes | 74c | 7,494$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…e437backed No | 1c | 7,108$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…c4c7backed No | 1c | 7,082$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 6,300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed Yes | 66c | 6,227$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 5,819$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.62 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…5252backed Yes | 73c | 5,542$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…061dbacked No | 25c | 5,490$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4b67backed Yes | 73c | 5,300$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a1c5backed No | 42c | 5,217$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 61c | 4,755$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.33 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 26c | 4,729$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.27 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aff…f16abacked Yes | 75c | 4,578$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed No | 15c | 4,575$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7961backed Yes | 69c | 4,370$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 26c | 4,257$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.33 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 4,159$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…fdfabacked Yes | 70c | 4,005$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 2c | 3,869$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 3,811$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Yes | 68c | 3,795$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 68c | 3,618$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.67 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…3589backed Yes | 68c | 3,531$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked No | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 40c | 3,352$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.54 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…5bf6backed No | 1c | 3,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 65c | 3,155$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.33 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 19c | 2,943$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.27 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,849$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.15 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 67c | 2,744$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.55 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…f13dbacked No | 33c | 2,517$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…3616backed No | 40c | 2,390$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…ec07backed Yes | 74c | 2,360$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 20c | 2,347$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 29c | 2,298$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.82 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 48c | 2,279$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.62 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,273$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 53c | 2,247$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.63 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 73c | 2,220$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…9916backed Yes | 79c | 2,171$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked No | 27c | 2,154$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,064$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…a3d3backed No | 5c | 2,046$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…3587backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 56c | 1,960$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed No | 28c | 1,874$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 37c | 1,817$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.95 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…fb1bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,813$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…517abacked Yes | 75c | 1,768$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 29c | 1,716$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.95 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,680$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 71c | 1,673$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.12 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 73c | 1,660$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 79c | 1,589$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.28 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 77c | 1,546$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes | 73c | 1,541$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 32c | 1,530$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.69 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 57c | 1,522$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed No | 4c | 1,518$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +622.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Yes | 66c | 1,512$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 23c | 1,460$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.45 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…3f75backed Yes | 70c | 1,436$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…5fddbacked Yes | 67c | 1,420$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…cd15backed Yes | 71c | 1,411$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…9a95backed Yes | 79c | 1,411$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d0…ef39backed Yes | 73c | 1,406$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Yes | 66c | 1,390$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe383…85a3backed Yes | 72c | 1,382$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 36c | 1,374$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 30c | 1,348$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 63c | 1,347$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.11 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed No | 27c | 1,339$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b032backed No | 32c | 1,311$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 66c | 1,267$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…2dc6backed Yes | 74c | 1,241$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…4e2ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,238$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?this page
- Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.