TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x40ac…ee4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$385.86
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.58
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$37.8
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$177.18
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$16.1
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$28.8
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.6
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$13.8
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11.22
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$309.69
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$316
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$124.35
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52.12
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.5%+$582.16
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$387.2
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.2
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+80.2%+$178
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$151.2
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.8%+$187.31
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$608.2
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$658
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$322.55
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,956.51
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.64
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$411.07
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.91
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.67
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,607Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$1,299.75
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.11
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$420
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$465
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$993.85
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$1,062.06
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$208.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$387.32
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,277.16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$4,749.11
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27,816Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$7,939.92
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$1,072.77
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$577.72
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,514Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4,481.1
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$2,976.78
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,310
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,933Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+98.9%+$2,899.86
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,310Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$2,577.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$321.9
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,592Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$1,629.9
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,711Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$511.06
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$422.18
Will Solana reach $240 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,899.61
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,275Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$8,601.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$5,691.05
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+547.2%+$769.39
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.61
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.34
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.51
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.28
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$213
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.08
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.95
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$679.48
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$150.96
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$604.95
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.68
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.6
White Sox vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.5
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+118.9%+$152.1
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$70.8
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.6
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$35
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$45
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$423.84
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$497.79
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$619.37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$743.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+194.3%+$2,460.35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$792.29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$418.48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$565.83
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+314.6%+$1,555.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+125.6%+$556.11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+209.8%+$1,294.42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$133.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$203.81
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$349.65
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$121.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+651.9%+$346.76
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100.21
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100.43
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42%+$396.48
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+36.4%+$5.46
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.6
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.2
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+33.3%+$5
Giants vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+25%+$4
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+47.1%+$12.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.6
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58%+$304.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.92
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$123
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$161.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+402.3%+$587.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$230.34
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,550
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$256
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$491
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$145.41
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$582.4
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$351.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+66.7%+$8
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.2
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+25%+$4
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$12.8
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.3%+$4.26
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+61.3%+$11.39
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$18.29
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$28.4
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+44.9%+$18.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-76.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$376.4
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249.98
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$494.99
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$520.2
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+50.4%+$134
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$144.9
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$221.26
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$663.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+57.5%+$73
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: AMKAL ESPORTS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+46%+$63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Imperial (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$290.15
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$382.47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.1%+$553.62
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.66
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.61
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$219.78
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+402.5%+$402.51
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$293.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.9%+$185.69
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.62
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+98.8%+$77.87
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$512.79
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$436.36
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$146.96
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.34
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$180.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$91.8
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.83
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.53
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$349.65
Will FC København vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.56
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31%+$367.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$449.8
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+46.3%+$1,055.45
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+90.4%+$650.41
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$518.45
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+34.4%+$581.4
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$71.71
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.9%+$6
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+28.2%+$3.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$209.79
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Ribas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Almeida vs. Alhassanbacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+614.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$690.06
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$544.39
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,620.02
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-5.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$71.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$575.39
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympicsbacked Trump · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,081.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.