MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9fa0ba306cb18731ad2b88d3373ebc6bde1b5942d07708ab703ff4aaa556d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $778,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $767,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 346,915$144,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,784.07 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yankees | 65c | 107,720$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yankees | 58c | 47,822$27,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,736.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 59c | 41,320$24,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,234.59 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 34c | 36,323$12,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,270.13 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Yankees | 63c | 32,845$20,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,684.42 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 58c | 32,732$18,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,984.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yankees | 56c | 21,713$12,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.8 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 21,160$11,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,052.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 58c | 20,728$11,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,951.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 48c | 20,575$9,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yankees | 59c | 20,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 42c | 16,284$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.29 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blue Jays | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.95 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Blue Jays | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,670 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yankees | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…a26ebacked Blue Jays | 39c | 9,995$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…e7bbbacked Yankees | 61c | 9,995$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 49c | 9,577$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 73c | 8,670$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.38 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 39c | 7,355$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yankees | 60c | 5,146$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.6 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Yankees | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.95 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Blue Jays | 63c | 4,444$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.44 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 60c | 4,349$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.78 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Yankees | 60c | 4,134$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 57c | 4,130$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.3 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 21c | 4,060$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.04 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 4,014$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.46 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yankees | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Yankees | 60c | 3,977$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 7c | 3,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 2c | 3,256$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 57c | 2,889$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.99 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Yankees | 48c | 2,765$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 56c | 2,669$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,647$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.85 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 59c | 2,645$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.25 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees | 59c | 2,524$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.73 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 59c | 2,384$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.63 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 58c | 2,148$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.46 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…2949backed Blue Jays | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Blue Jays | 26c | 2,088$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.72 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…0280backed Blue Jays | 41c | 1,940$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Blue Jays | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,817$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.01 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 1c | 1,748$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…a0e4backed Yankees | 71c | 1,731$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Yankees | 39c | 1,721$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…52bcbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 1,575$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Yankees | 1c | 1,571$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 39c | 1,552$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yankees | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…0ee9backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yankees | 66c | 1,490$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Yankees | 28c | 1,278$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.95 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yankees | 24c | 1,251$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 3c | 1,250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,230$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Yankees | 61c | 1,229$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…1b13backed Blue Jays | 39c | 1,229$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Yankees | 29c | 1,131$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…28d2backed Yankees | 61c | 1,082$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…4d41backed Yankees | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…f027backed Yankees | 61c | 1,048$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…8696backed Yankees | 61c | 1,018$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Blue Jays | 79c | 1,014$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 23c | 1,010$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yankees | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…78a9backed Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 987.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.8 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 79c | 950$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yankees | 59c | 949.52$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…0003backed Yankees | 61c | 852$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Blue Jays | 73c | 842.48$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Yankees | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yankees | 30c | 813.49$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 43c | 766.59$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Yankees | 64c | 724.29$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.28 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Blue Jays | 25c | 690.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.37 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 59c | 670.03$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Yankees | 80c | 669.41$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yankees | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Yankees | 60c | 637.59$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Blue Jays | 41c | 633.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4280backed Yankees | 18c | 582.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Blue Jays | 70c | 574.61$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yankees | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 60c | 566.67$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Blue Jays | 70c | 557.16$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Blue Jays | 79c | 550.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Blue Jays | 41c | 548$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.