TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc52…a021

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
532
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.66
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.38
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.3
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$35.88
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.36
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.99
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT11934.5%41 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.76
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.03
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$47.24
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.56
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.02
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.49
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.61
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.97
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.25
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$40.15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.94
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$18.69
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.62
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$5.2
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.93
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10267.6%69 W · 33 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.36
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.2
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.87
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.45
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.81
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.98
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.09
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.4
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.71
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$11.66
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.96
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.76
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.37
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$10.38
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.73
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST4744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+128.9%+$18.07
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$20.05
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+166.8%+$23.3
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.29
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$36.34
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$31.29
Will Chelsea vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.35
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.97
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
Will Arsenal vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.93
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.64
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+345.3%+$110.4
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.06
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.87
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$30.77
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$16.5
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$6.34
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+168.8%+$28.44
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+280.1%+$60.57
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$59.42
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+25%+$7.81
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$165.29
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+49.3%+$51.57
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.23
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$44.47
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$18.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.74
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.02
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$22.4
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.97
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.56
Will Club Brugge beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.14
Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.87
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+223.7%+$31.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$14.51
Penn State vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.07
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.17
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+148.4%+$49.61
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+143.9%+$24.96
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+184.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.98
Will Ajax beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+180.1%+$21.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+110.8%+$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+76.7%+$12.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$18.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.