TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,256,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,558,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,256,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 906 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers19c868,905$164,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,752.6687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pacers19c105,589$20,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,317.8729650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed 76ers80c92,609$73,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,927.8530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers20c78,057$15,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,480.861,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers80c60,282$48,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,056.331,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers77c48,930$37,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,162.2751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed 76ers80c39,957$31,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,991.4438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pacers18c39,227$7,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,060.9559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers21c33,066$6,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,934.0635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacers32c31,385$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked 76ers80c30,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Pacers13c30,000$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.4913625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pacers18c26,927$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.4737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pacers0c26,742$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2216919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers18c22,600$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers20c21,959$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.7832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pacers20c20,953$4,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.6859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers69c20,633$14,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,327.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Pacers18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Pacers20c19,000$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,77026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Pacers19c18,888$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.7115952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers21c17,278$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.9536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Pacers19c15,789$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers18c15,494$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers1c15,045$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers19c15,000$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Pacers19c14,926$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8809531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked 76ers80c14,874$11,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.728649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pacers20c14,532$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.0424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pacers18c14,400$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers19c13,332$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7541832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers4c12,811$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.683179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers76c12,160$9,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.42,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227e…e118backed Pacers27c12,155$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Pacers3c11,777$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9511548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Pacers25c11,573$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.017142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed 76ers78c11,289$8,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.3219957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers80c11,189$8,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Pacers8c11,063$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.345813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers11c10,625$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Pacers28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Pacers34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.991442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked 76ers80c9,990$7,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,99845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed 76ers80c9,968$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.696848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers15c9,897$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.651,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Pacers19c9,700$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.966333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pacers0c9,164$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers80c8,556$6,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers21c8,304$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.881,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked 76ers79c8,086$6,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.0812855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers26c8,007$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers20c6,831$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.081,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Pacers21c6,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3658640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked 76ers79c6,500$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3659054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers18c6,500$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1651,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5d…17fdbacked 76ers78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.261450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed 76ers77c6,406$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.7622458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked 76ers73c6,388$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.3231453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Pacers21c6,300$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32311940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked 76ers76c6,250$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.8116863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers23c6,166$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.861,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed 76ers80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f3…f8e5backed 76ers80c5,839$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.84666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c5,750$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed 76ers80c5,723$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.58063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Pacers16c5,710$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9138046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…6f5fbacked Pacers19c5,600$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pacers22c5,190$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.5258740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Pacers27c5,000$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34725947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Pacers20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Pacers19c4,920$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers76c4,790$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.361,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4a…744abacked 76ers80c4,781$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Pacers19c4,679$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.979330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Pacers21c4,619$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9702259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked 76ers73c4,478$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.0848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed 76ers74c4,462$3,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.2141553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Pacers17c4,417$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.2526842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked 76ers80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers21c3,950$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.9961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Pacers20c3,756$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pacers28c3,726$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.4754246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e7…8cbebacked Pacers21c3,708$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.694632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pacers26c3,346$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.5393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed 76ers66c3,314$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.7752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers75c3,298$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f37…4d4bbacked 76ers80c3,202$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Pacers20c3,193$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pacers35c3,160$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.2748137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked 76ers80c3,120$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62418553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers10c3,077$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.032,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers20c3,061$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.651,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pacers18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…eb67backed 76ers79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Pacers19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.