TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a74…c352backed 76ers56c6,250$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff6…0bbabacked Pacers44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a1…f30ebacked Pacers44c3,475$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa137…afe6backed Pacers44c3,387$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372a…590dbacked 76ers57c2,976$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec97…f73bbacked Pacers43c2,911$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab03…bfabbacked 76ers57c2,845$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa29b…6e32backed 76ers56c2,809$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fed…4269backed 76ers56c2,805$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ab…4f58backed Pacers44c2,789$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…f76dbacked Pacers43c2,737$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd80…fd3cbacked 76ers56c2,709$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5713…0601backed 76ers57c2,664$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcf…baddbacked 76ers56c2,602$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b9…5e5abacked Pacers44c2,598$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5662…1f1ebacked 76ers56c2,566$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9acd…7951backed 76ers56c2,538$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95da…5402backed Pacers43c2,538$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91f1…bd85backed 76ers57c2,532$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5363…d207backed Pacers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0d…c9a0backed 76ers57c2,474$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x475d…a5c1backed 76ers56c2,429$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa289…16dbbacked 76ers56c2,388$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d18…9b1bbacked 76ers56c2,385$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa5…88cdbacked Pacers44c2,378$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b7…71b6backed 76ers56c2,378$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7456…0955backed 76ers56c2,353$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901e…bbc2backed Pacers43c2,342$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…edcebacked Pacers44c2,330$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b03…7320backed Pacers43c2,305$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8e…4c80backed Pacers43c2,222$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eed…418ebacked Pacers44c2,016$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6140…dcf9backed Pacers44c1,846$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d42…f254backed Pacers44c1,822$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fd…06c2backed Pacers44c1,790$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc5…a802backed 76ers57c1,760$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x521d…5c08backed Pacers44c1,719$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed4d…86c3backed 76ers57c1,704$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda9f…d098backed Pacers44c1,620$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc0…d02ebacked 76ers56c1,619$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4afc…c1d3backed Pacers44c1,619$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a4…8a3cbacked 76ers56c1,617$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f68…62bfbacked Pacers44c1,611$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfad0…ab5dbacked 76ers57c1,564$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e7…56d4backed 76ers56c1,542$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c5…c4a5backed 76ers56c1,521$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf88…5982backed Pacers44c1,514$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers2c1,216$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers54c1,095$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff1…49cebacked Pacers41c1,095$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4493956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers43c1,068$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5b…b771backed Pacers44c794$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers45c703.93$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fa…e975backed Pacers44c550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b31…0d6cbacked Pacers43c410$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked 76ers60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16023546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd379…0c92backed Pacers43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…d2dabacked Pacers43c370$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d0…001bbacked Pacers43c370$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x384a…639abacked Pacers43c360$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f9…1622backed Pacers43c360$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed 76ers60c333.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.465364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8b8…d280backed Pacers43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc1…45abbacked Pacers43c320$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers50c283.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…6a7ebacked Pacers43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae9…7d2fbacked Pacers43c270$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a1…85b3backed Pacers44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers45c236.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.763,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed 76ers60c187.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.041,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers53c129.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.762,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Pacers44c115$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.652242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked 76ers56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.437850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers55c99.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.282,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers45c81.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked 76ers59c55.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pacers41c55.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9317233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed 76ers57c52.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9724150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pacers43c48.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Pacers44c44.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4445653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pacers41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2965950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers59c35.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers45c29.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Pacers47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pacers41c24.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed 76ers56c23.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4310653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers57c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.892,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.