TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,476 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d10…e270backed Under47c34,000$15,952 inLost-$15,952.285139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over55c13,692$7,490 inWon+$6,201.2243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c10,026$5,317 inWon+$4,709.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon+$1,773.5817144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c2,142$1,134 inWon+$1,008.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c2,000$1,070 inWon+$930.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon+$886.793661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over53c1,523$807 inWon+$715.649952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c492$280 inWon+$212.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c400$212 inWon+$1881,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over55c369.73$203 inWon+$166.382835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under50c200.11$100 inLost-$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under48c200$96 inLost-$9626043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c98.31$51 inWon+$47.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c86.28$47 inWon+$39.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under48c83.33$40 inLost-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Over53c83.02$44 inWon+$39.024557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon+$23.571,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Over53c50$27 inWon+$23.52540%10 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under44c48.55$21 inLost-$21.3622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6bb5…fbcbbacked Under48c35.65$17 inLost-$17.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c27.32$14 inWon+$12.842,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Over77c26$20 inWon+$5.984445.5%20 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.