NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611d69514600b97d3fc8dd0c56ad1c57e9d8a3b0ab8b4f6c805d57025c9e8eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 46c | 8,053$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.58 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 6,558$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…76f1backed Over | 43c | 6,180$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 58c | 5,167$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…b8ccbacked Under | 58c | 4,792$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…9886backed Under | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…3dc1backed Over | 42c | 3,260$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,717$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…e19dbacked Under | 57c | 2,636$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 51c | 1,996$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 1,716$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.46 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…e921backed Over | 43c | 1,490$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 1,325$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,137$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 57c | 863.39$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.04 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 55c | 462.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 67c | 371.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 342.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 28c | 320.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 266.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 46c | 261.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 257.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Under | 60c | 249.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 204.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 57c | 176.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f3dcbacked Over | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 59c | 150.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 20c | 129.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 46c | 124.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Under | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked Under | 53c | 87.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 86.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 59.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 41c | 52.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 49.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Over | 41c | 49.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over | 43c | 48.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Over | 41c | 48.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Over | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 40c | 35.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…a435backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 51c | 33.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 51c | 33.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 45c | 32.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Over | 49c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933d…38c5backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…f8e1backed Under | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…230dbacked Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 46c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…2da2backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…1f5dbacked Under | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…b182backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…54a2backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jay Huff: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kam Jones: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kam Jones: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.