TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers49c94,222$45,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,817.9332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked 76ers51c27,665$14,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,555.964052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers48c25,955$12,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,392.031,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers52c25,668$13,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,322.591,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers45c23,299$10,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,484.6443148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 76ers52c20,112$10,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,653.7945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked 76ers52c20,083$10,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,639.748054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Pacers49c15,840$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers53c15,577$8,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,334.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pacers48c14,583$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers53c10,044$5,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers52c9,538$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed 76ers52c9,069$4,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.67759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed 76ers51c8,627$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.4549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1434854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacers68c7,122$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85016848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed 76ers51c5,977$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.736860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers53c5,367$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.121,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers53c5,350$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pacers45c5,328$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.3424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Pacers48c5,028$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x565b…ef0bbacked 76ers52c5,023$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers47c4,412$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16a…f3debacked 76ers54c4,286$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3590…b9d2backed 76ers54c4,276$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pacers48c4,162$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.4137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e21…26c2backed Pacers46c4,076$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers52c4,033$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc03…119ebacked Pacers46c3,718$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb896…bebabacked 76ers54c3,544$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x199e…017ebacked Pacers46c3,364$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed 76ers55c3,325$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.1423747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers39c3,200$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked 76ers53c3,137$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.331,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pacers48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pacers48c3,090$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.21,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pacers43c3,045$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.3535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked 76ers51c2,845$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.1617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed 76ers51c2,843$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.1441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…a3f6backed Pacers47c2,800$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3161643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3df…beefbacked 76ers53c2,795$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers51c2,744$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.561,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Pacers48c2,738$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed 76ers56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.579558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked 76ers52c2,639$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.9117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers53c2,468$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers47c2,335$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed 76ers56c2,271$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.056055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Pacers46c2,156$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.859556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers44c1,674$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.3687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers45c1,622$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed 76ers52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7681,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5426…bc07backed Pacers47c1,501$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…069ebacked 76ers53c1,499$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.531546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed 76ers51c1,467$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.6725452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers39c1,434$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers53c1,322$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pacers14c1,313$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Pacers52c1,279$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.8417042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked 76ers53c1,140$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed 76ers56c1,136$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8426553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers51c1,123$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.331,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed 76ers57c1,059$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.483345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed 76ers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed 76ers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1096…e921backed Pacers46c948$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers48c926.82$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.242,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pacers47c873.89$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3817233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Pacers46c855$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers48c841.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.372,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Pacers46c773.91$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers54c721$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.151,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed 76ers53c717.26$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1122055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Pacers46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3227454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Pacers50c689.52$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.767448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Pacers47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Pacers51c592.16$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30216837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Pacers49c571.72$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.363831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers48c567.86$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.551,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers53c566.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Pacers48c478.15$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5117144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Pacers46c445$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers51c421.1$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.342,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed 76ers52c419.65$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Pacers51c388.86$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.322437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed 76ers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.365048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers46c362.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers47c358.13$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Pacers46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers51c306.38$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Pacers43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Pacers49c296.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2714144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pacers48c291.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.972,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Pacers47c272.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Pacers45c266.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.