TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd359…6007

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$897.1
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.37
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+80.4%+$450.16
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+55.4%+$392
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,811Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26%+$3,329.43
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$393
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25.4%+$1,334.77
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$340
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$515.2
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39%+$390.01
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,173.91
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$4,249.35
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$323.8
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,806.69
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$540
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$940
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$709.99
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+158.6%+$183.98
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.7%+$445.8
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+65.2%+$354.77
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.9%+$3,593.85
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,654.8
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$221.68
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.7%+$2,410.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,722Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+68.3%+$6,644.23
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,008.34
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$271.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+136%+$1,360.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$56.57
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$46.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwaitbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37.9%+$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordham Rams vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,611Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.7%+$479
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.