Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab90b2869ccbeebac131d61ab9ebe1e20a7221fd2ae86751a3d4f62a40b65f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,656 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 4,470$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 1,380$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.11 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 1,188$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.28 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 25c | 779.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 54c | 559.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 481.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 24c | 469.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 58c | 438.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 15c | 391.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 33c | 390$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 59c | 388$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 25c | 383$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 52c | 306.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 304.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 54c | 277.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 252$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 50c | 242.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed No | 75c | 226.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 43c | 211.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 158.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…5606backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 32c | 142.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Yes | 26c | 110.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…b078backed Yes | 49c | 98.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 91.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes | 45c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…3e81backed Yes | 27c | 82.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 52.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…40febacked Yes | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…4d26backed Yes | 44c | 45.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…ba03backed Yes | 30c | 44.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…7d6dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…87e7backed Yes | 44c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.