Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5cafbe86e24933e6e78e4f49a557b56bd7da94863d3ace21fe2d14211a34469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 29c | 1,764$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.82 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 1,596$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.47 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,239$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.55 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 1,071$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 969.01$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.83 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 67c | 828.78$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 754.67$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.28 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 13c | 700$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 32c | 611.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 51c | 588.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.19 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 78c | 580.9$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 67c | 377.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 332.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 331.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.65 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 16c | 324.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 16cpaid | +200%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…bfe9backed Yes | 78c | 201.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 31c | 192.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed No | 49c | 180.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…5606backed Yes | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 135.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 131$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…8e93backed No | 77c | 130.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…fd20backed Yes | 73c | 113.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Yes | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 73c | 75.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 59c | 71.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…cf8abacked Yes | 77c | 68.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 57c | 57.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…db0dbacked Yes | 77c | 54.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 54.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 69c | 51.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 64c | 50.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 36c | 50.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 49.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…4dc7backed Yes | 66c | 42.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Yes | 48c | 41.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…690abacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Yes | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 35.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 69c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 68c | 28.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 77c | 24.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.