TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1217…690a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.8
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.21
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.84
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$14.9
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Dino Prizmicbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$11.18
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$11.43
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$10.76
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.57
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Menorca: Justin Engel vs Inaki Montesbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazuabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.26
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.28
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Marcio Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.6
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jamie Siraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$17.2
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.75
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Charles Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.93
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Lando Vannata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.63
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$10.6
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$8.51
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.98
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60.92
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.05
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.69
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+39.8%+$11.93
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+34.2%+$13.66
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.3
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.93
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$9
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+27%+$5.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.