Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20989b58ccbd7f28ffe4f54f4058aefb4fbe4337dcdb5adc54b78b262968c56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,227 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 20,790$9,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,742.47 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 10,071$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 46c | 7,777$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 65c | 5,000$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 66c | 4,523$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 74c | 3,877$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 43c | 3,695$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 26c | 3,429$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.29 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 3,195$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.01 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 3,054$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.64 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 35c | 2,835$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over | 75c | 2,665$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Under | 34c | 2,555$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 75c | 2,200$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 48c | 2,060$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 1,972$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.81 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 51c | 1,876$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.65 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 1,474$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.32 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 62c | 1,453$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 73c | 1,303$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.15 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 47c | 1,265$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,256$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 60c | 1,099$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.15 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 11c | 1,061$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c495backed Over | 45c | 999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 46c | 863.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Over | 74c | 861.24$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.32 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 64c | 837.3$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Over | 65c | 802.63$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 12c | 750$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Under | 15c | 700$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 64c | 699.36$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 61c | 654.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 25c | 624.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.74 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 34c | 599.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 25c | 460.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Over | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 12c | 435$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 74c | 403$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 69c | 400$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,020.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 383$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 370.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.78 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 78c | 336.8$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 15c | 334.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Over | 51c | 326.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 58c | 323.43$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 66c | 298.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 296.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 28c | 286.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 66c | 285.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 270.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 264.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 259.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Over | 35c | 256.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 225.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 213.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 60c | 209.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 39c | 189.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 54c | 186.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 20c | 184.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 72c | 182.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f5c0backed Over | 35c | 162.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 152.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 62c | 145.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 77c | 142.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 70c | 141.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 139.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 72c | 139.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…e05abacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…a2a4backed Over | 65c | 137.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 24c | 134.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.