TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x635f…6be6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$51.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.58
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.12
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$55.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$44.64
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$96.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.75
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$50.61
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+39%+$19.48
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.75
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.17
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$28.11
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.16
Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.6%+$15.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$314.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.