Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0804dd5ac4c9c77af3abf47a9f240d4451e3ffc93e476fff4f5212e6188e384c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 8,620$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 3,470$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.95 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 18c | 3,419$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.09 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 77c | 2,615$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.61 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 2,394$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 54c | 2,357$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 60c | 2,178$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 54c | 1,733$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.92 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 1,280$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 34c | 1,250$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.94 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 1,096$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.34 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 882.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.91 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 876.08$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.29 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 760.89$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 73c | 684.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 582.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 55c | 510.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 55c | 468.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 425.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +275%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 23c | 399.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 55c | 390.91$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Under | 78c | 389.62$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Under | 78c | 386.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 354.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Over | 29c | 328.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 18c | 289.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 249.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 206.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 23c | 195.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 144.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 47c | 137.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 39c | 135.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 80c | 123.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 22c | 119.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Over | 76c | 117.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 51c | 116.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 68c | 107.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 17c | 83.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 61c | 78.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 63c | 75.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed Under | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 61c | 74.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 72.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 78c | 72.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…a4d2backed Under | 69c | 71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 25c | 69.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…3ff3backed Over | 58c | 68.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…35f4backed Over | 44c | 67.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 65c | 61.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 41c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 55c | 59.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 48c | 54.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Under | 40c | 52.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 37c | 50.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 21c | 49.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 56c | 48.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed Under | 43c | 48.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 77c | 47.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.