TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x595f…9d4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT13445.5%61 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$100.09
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$517.28
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bukayo Saka win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.52
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+429.7%+$214.83
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.6%+$33.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$38.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,462.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,462.5%+$292.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.