TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,991 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Yes60c57,023$34,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,809.252740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed No40c39,417$15,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,766.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No40c19,992$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,996.84940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No40c12,058$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8231957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes59c11,704$6,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.3352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes60c9,329$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.5821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No11c9,210$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.91,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c9,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c7,718$4,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.0587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes61c7,500$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No39c5,845$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.552642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No40c5,740$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2963450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No40c3,075$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes58c2,155$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c2,079$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.5771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8602653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c1,979$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.5123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c1,815$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.1638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No39c1,572$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.186952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No19c1,055$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.355238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No39c934.54$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.472227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c931.12$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.771,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No40c929.97$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9917043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes60c828.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c774$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes59c705.05$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c561$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75c…e826backed No40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No16c297$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.526132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c271.77$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c271.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes59c260.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No40c246.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.692955.2%16 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes60c222$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes60c209$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.69747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc9…a083backed Yes59c201.59$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f7…d191backed No42c191.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4a…3f75backed No42c189.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a45…f9d9backed No42c187.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes60c180.7$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.283348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6752…bc58backed Yes59c177.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+85.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No34c139.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.078434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c125.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6716224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No42c116$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No40c110.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.387138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes60c110.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.679256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes61c110.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.134052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No42c110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed Yes59c102.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da8…8103backed Yes60c95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Yes59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…617cbacked Yes59c85.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes73c85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes60c84.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.722560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes59c83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c1…7ad0backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes61c81.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.963070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes63c80.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6118155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a4…9a10backed No40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No20c71.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes59c67.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.713759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.576155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed No41c64.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes65c63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.844257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes58c63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked No42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes59c54.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9616242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…ad4fbacked No42c51.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed No27c50.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked No40c50.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.111040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff4…76c5backed Yes61c50.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes60c49.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.