Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573416b21e68f060977cc153e0f374ca35837785d31e3fd6fe358a78bee5e0db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,039 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,334$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.18 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Yes | 23c | 2,027$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,895$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 23c | 1,858$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 1,510$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,379$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 947.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.09 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 623.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 507$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…d824backed Yes | 24c | 469.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…335dbacked No | 76c | 469.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 24c | 345.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 272.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 77c | 239.41$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ba4bbacked No | 76c | 236.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…3b30backed Yes | 24c | 236.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 226.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 16c | 143$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 131.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 91.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 87.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 75c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 23c | 55.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 77c | 48.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 77c | 36.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 77c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.