TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76f6…21be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,488.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610.07
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,532.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$69.15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$53.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,022.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$257.75
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.8%+$428.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$784.69
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+86%+$550.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$810.68
CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$479
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$302.24
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$507.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,860
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$2,467.2
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$405.85
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.76
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156%+$1,847.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.72
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$652
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.66
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,017.77
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$686.83
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$324.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$568.08
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.54
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$953.05
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,185
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$152.27
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$990.8
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.38
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$3,928.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.08
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$268.11
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+259%+$181.32
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$30.78
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500.06
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.98
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$196
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$3,433.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$618.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,699
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,990Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6,660
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.87
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$152
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$108.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.