TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$490,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes57c132,551$74,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,993.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No43c40,598$17,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,146.1152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes57c27,062$15,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,460.044841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c26,616$11,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,944.231,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c18,974$8,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,676.0187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c18,712$10,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,563.4624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No43c12,737$5,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,259.874447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No42c12,354$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,104.2421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c12,025$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,642.921,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No42c10,403$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,046.163557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.962540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.945354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No45c9,622$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,292.223542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c9,442$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.1171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c9,210$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,377.2962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Yes78c5,158$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3e…41c9backed Yes1c4,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No44c4,300$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c4,188$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.8221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No44c4,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.911942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0303655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No44c3,333$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.484468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No43c3,299$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.5631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c3,265$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.7248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9712839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No42c2,921$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.6419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c2,715$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.7528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes59c2,535$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No44c2,450$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3842245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No44c2,098$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.3829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes54c2,050$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.431250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No43c2,020$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No45c2,016$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.115048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1606648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes56c1,773$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes59c1,702$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No43c1,628$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.969553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c1,519$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2726660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No43c1,500$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0805538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No6c1,500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.673910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes14c1,434$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0611916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Yes56c1,400$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c1,376$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.5238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes54c1,370$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.83627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes55c1,365$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No42c1,248$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.842437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No29c1,110$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.345757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes4c1,095$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.291921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+203%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Yes39c1,035$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.191266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7104131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No40c999.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.985745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No43c985$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.453756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No40c968.26$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.272934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92ef…34d6backed Yes54c897$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes53c871.96$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.149355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes58c810.56$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c702.73$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4726845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c685$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No26c675$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.52944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes59c672.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed Yes6c638.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes9c634.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c622.83$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No43c578.82$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1814045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Yes74c567.84$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4192166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c510.53$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No43c509$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.131478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes56c508.93$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25527244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Yes58c494.55$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d90…a112backed No48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…da41backed Yes52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes75c472.1$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No44c449.41$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c447.83$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c394.2$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes75c373.33$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes50c372.48$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.