TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeda4…d5db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.3
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$54.89
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$73.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$91.3
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$195.59
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$58.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43.43
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$27.5
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+525%+$84.84
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$168.04
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.44
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$402.19
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$196.13
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$198.53
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$91.22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$58.55
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54.54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.44
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64.64
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26.26
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26.26
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36.36
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26.26
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.29
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61.61
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22.22
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34.34
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$88.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$176
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.