Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedab0fd76ffebdf534326152cbb7347a3038d50f78bfa69afc28a964827b5693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,285,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,397,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Svitolina | 14c | 142,651$20,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,362.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Svitolina | 20c | 136,257$27,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,320.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Sabalenka | 80c | 50,924$40,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,195.69 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Sabalenka | 80c | 46,000$36,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.99 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Sabalenka | 80c | 43,757$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.69 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Svitolina | 20c | 43,185$8,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,637 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Svitolina | 22c | 41,030$8,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,932.59 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Svitolina | 20c | 40,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Sabalenka | 79c | 32,911$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.39 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Svitolina | 20c | 28,466$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Svitolina | 9c | 28,019$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.13 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Sabalenka | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Svitolina | 4c | 23,905$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Svitolina | 10c | 20,424$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.42 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Svitolina | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sabalenka | 78c | 18,280$14,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.6 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Svitolina | 20c | 17,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Svitolina | 7c | 17,271$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Svitolina | 10c | 15,961$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.61 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Svitolina | 22c | 15,623$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.31 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Svitolina | 20c | 15,019$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.88 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Svitolina | 5c | 13,947$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.37 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…5394backed Sabalenka | 80c | 13,727$10,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Sabalenka | 80c | 12,748$10,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.46 | 254 | 64.6%164 W · 90 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sabalenka | 79c | 11,055$8,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.46 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Sabalenka | 80c | 10,939$8,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.75 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Svitolina | 20c | 10,881$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.3 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Sabalenka | 79c | 10,494$8,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.22 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Svitolina | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Svitolina | 21c | 9,524$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Sabalenka | 80c | 8,889$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Svitolina | 21c | 8,889$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Svitolina | 21c | 8,603$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Svitolina | 1c | 6,905$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Svitolina | 19c | 6,779$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.03 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Svitolina | 21c | 6,176$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.95 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…35fbbacked Svitolina | 13c | 6,176$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Sabalenka | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Sabalenka | 80c | 5,625$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Svitolina | 21c | 5,625$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Sabalenka | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Svitolina | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Sabalenka | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Sabalenka | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Svitolina | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Svitolina | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Svitolina | 20c | 4,922$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Svitolina | 9c | 4,910$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.34 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Svitolina | 20c | 4,500$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sabalenka | 78c | 4,388$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.26 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Svitolina | 21c | 4,235$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Sabalenka | 78c | 4,053$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.68 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Svitolina | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 290 | 45.9%133 W · 157 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Sabalenka | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Sabalenka | 78c | 4,000$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Svitolina | 22c | 3,911$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.34 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…6f3cbacked Sabalenka | 79c | 3,671$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Svitolina | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Svitolina | 22c | 3,327$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Svitolina | 14c | 3,198$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.83 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Svitolina | 8c | 2,839$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 332 | 46.4%154 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Svitolina | 21c | 2,688$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.43 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Svitolina | 21c | 2,609$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.99 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Svitolina | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Svitolina | 20c | 2,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Sabalenka | 80c | 2,443$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.65 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Svitolina | 4c | 2,443$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Svitolina | 20c | 2,441$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Svitolina | 21c | 2,398$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Sabalenka | 80c | 2,266$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.16 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Sabalenka | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sabalenka | 78c | 2,224$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.34 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Svitolina | 7c | 2,191$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Sabalenka | 79c | 2,165$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Sabalenka | 79c | 2,039$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Svitolina | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Svitolina | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Sabalenka | 75c | 1,964$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Svitolina | 13c | 1,882$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Sabalenka | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Sabalenka | 80c | 1,874$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.74 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…e68bbacked Svitolina | 12c | 1,800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Sabalenka | 79c | 1,708$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.48 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Sabalenka | 80c | 1,661$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…f4ffbacked Sabalenka | 80c | 1,616$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Svitolina | 22c | 1,600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Sabalenka | 77c | 1,583$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.99 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Sabalenka | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Sabalenka | 80c | 1,494$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…67fbbacked Svitolina | 19c | 1,441$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Svitolina | 21c | 1,430$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Svitolina | 20c | 1,419$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Sabalenka | 80c | 1,355$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sabalenka | 80c | 1,317$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.4 | 654 | 59%386 W · 268 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Svitolina | 21c | 1,253$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Sabalenka | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.09 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Sabalenka | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…29cabacked Svitolina | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Svitolina | 20c | 1,245$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.99 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1ad2backed Svitolina | 21c | 1,238$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinathis page
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs SvitolinaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.