Tennis · resolved market
Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4e4d9417599523bb083006b64bb6a49da194115d049f335f2b20c68cf551ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Over | 49c | 11,297$5,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Under | 51c | 11,297$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Over | 51c | 691.04$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 511.81$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 498.04$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 49c | 410.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 315$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Over | 50c | 300.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 270.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 51c | 242.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 146.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Under | 56c | 127.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 119.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 118.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 49c | 90.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaSabalenka won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs SvitolinaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.