TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Svitolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed Svitolina31c20,648$6,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,441.1557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Sabalenka78c17,830$13,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.5211053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Svitolina12c13,847$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.7176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Svitolina45c10,016$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,537.5529146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f58…6f3cbacked Sabalenka59c6,414$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Svitolina43c5,698$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Sabalenka57c5,698$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Svitolina46c4,571$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.7520844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Sabalenka56c4,363$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9112442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Svitolina35c3,974$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.927,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca22…6ff1backed Svitolina0c3,609$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Sabalenka77c3,204$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.9436968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Sabalenka54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7857249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka57c2,706$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.461,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ba…bbb6backed Sabalenka55c2,152$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.633647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Svitolina43c2,130$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.797147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sabalenka56c2,084$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.311,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Sabalenka58c1,730$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.64266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Sabalenka55c1,663$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.154434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Sabalenka54c1,630$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.2311647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Sabalenka56c1,312$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.2814243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Svitolina29c1,194$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.282,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Svitolina43c1,183$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.481625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Sabalenka55c1,125$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.811471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+178.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Svitolina44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Sabalenka57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Sabalenka55c910.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Svitolina19c833.31$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Svitolina44c713$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7230530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Svitolina44c626$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5310443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Sabalenka54c613$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.987751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Sabalenka57c562.04$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.684443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sabalenka53c514.66$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.595955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Svitolina44c503$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3212861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Svitolina44c462.84$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Svitolina48c459.58$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Svitolina44c450$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19746553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Svitolina46c424.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.42524%6 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Sabalenka57c312.33$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.321448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Svitolina33c310.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.443930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Sabalenka53c306.82$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.95955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Sabalenka57c304.56$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5618053.9%97 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Svitolina27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9558021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Svitolina45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Svitolina47c297.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Sabalenka57c290.56$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Sabalenka57c275.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Sabalenka55c241.42$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6411454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Svitolina42c238.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5231434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Sabalenka60c236.81$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.711850.8%60 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Svitolina45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005450%27 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Svitolina43c218.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.341,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Svitolina47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Svitolina48c210.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sabalenka55c201.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.232,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0417…9248backed Sabalenka56c195.87$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.898154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Svitolina34c177.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6c…178cbacked Sabalenka58c174.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Sabalenka60c167.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3154348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Sabalenka57c158.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2758359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Sabalenka54c145.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.845149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Sabalenka76c132.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.359154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Sabalenka56c131.42$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.419348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Sabalenka55c129.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8958438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina43c128.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.597,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Sabalenka55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2718166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…2d5bbacked Sabalenka54c123.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Svitolina42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.425237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Sabalenka56c116.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.875853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Svitolina43c111$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7318548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed Sabalenka57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Sabalenka54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Svitolina43c99.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Sabalenka56c90.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.083562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Svitolina47c89.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Sabalenka57c86.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2743749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…84a2backed Svitolina44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Sabalenka70c83.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.071442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sabalenka73c78.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Sabalenka58c72.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5210943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sabalenka57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Sabalenka60c69.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Svitolina34c67.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7163…fa03backed Svitolina47c62.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb9…6b56backed Svitolina33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Svitolina44c56.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.088549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Svitolina44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Sabalenka54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Svitolina24c53.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8318337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Sabalenka64c50.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeaa…e2d0backed Sabalenka55c50.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-54.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Sabalenka57c49.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1216657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28d…5af8backed Sabalenka51c45.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Sabalenka55c45.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3188446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acf…1179backed Svitolina44c44.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Svitolina49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Sabalenka55c38.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb02…b642backed Sabalenka55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.186374.6%47 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5338…f428backed Svitolina47c37.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.493458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fa…5ce9backed Sabalenka76c36.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.711540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.