TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e6c…178c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+175.2%+$113.84
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.93
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.91
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+89%+$36.5
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.11
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+150%+$33.57
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.74
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.78
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$39.1
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.62
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$46.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150.37
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$292.32
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+59.2%+$35.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+67.7%+$67.68
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.96
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+119.9%+$41.98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+80.8%+$27.47
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$144.72
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.43
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+59.2%+$59.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.76
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Lima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
UFC 317: McKinney vs. Borshchevbacked McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$171.73
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$57.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$284.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.