TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof FUT Esports, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$520,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed FUT Esports57c63,050$35,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,823.897943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 3DMAX43c39,902$17,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,780.3741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked 3DMAX30c38,910$11,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,056.6613633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports67c20,876$14,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,074.2683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked FUT Esports0c19,900$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.913315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed FUT Esports73c18,627$13,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,510.6823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX45c17,041$7,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,401.3272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FUT Esports73c15,000$10,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,949.9913954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 3DMAX43c14,096$6,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,034.6521655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked 3DMAX45c13,785$6,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,602.7839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed 3DMAX27c13,640$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,931.166934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed 3DMAX27c11,145$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,191.2328453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FUT Esports72c11,050$7,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,952.6235153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed FUT Esports55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 3DMAX48c9,084$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,712.8767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked FUT Esports56c8,500$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,76035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed 3DMAX50c8,036$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.9224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed 3DMAX43c7,932$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.247146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 3DMAX37c6,042$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.461,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60064552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports54c4,945$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.171,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed 3DMAX27c4,529$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.1719455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FUT Esports56c4,261$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.1657647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed 3DMAX27c4,074$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.841656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked FUT Esports52c4,027$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.4324440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed FUT Esports51c3,946$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.217249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed FUT Esports60c3,863$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.2512450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed 3DMAX50c3,682$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.3111940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked FUT Esports2c3,667$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3318040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX6c3,456$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.137,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…c741backed FUT Esports23c3,427$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked FUT Esports67c3,279$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.6760147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports48c3,123$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.062,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed FUT Esports51c3,081$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.783844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports27c3,023$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.563,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked 3DMAX23c2,940$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.1821042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed 3DMAX49c2,924$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.3911547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed FUT Esports32c2,831$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.6712150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked FUT Esports72c2,700$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9441233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 3DMAX33c2,500$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.4944648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports41c2,482$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.961,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports54c2,363$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27646149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked 3DMAX57c2,276$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.756953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed 3DMAX44c2,166$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.0645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c83…53dcbacked 3DMAX35c2,119$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked 3DMAX46c2,077$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.7611631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX48c2,026$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.192,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed 3DMAX27c1,999$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.276432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b6…7d7cbacked FUT Esports75c1,900$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports22c1,700$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.41,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX48c1,625$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked FUT Esports64c1,594$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.1227530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fdd…2055backed FUT Esports55c1,483$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-82.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed 3DMAX27c1,480$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.419732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 3DMAX35c1,317$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.7161138.1%233 W · 378 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 3DMAX53c1,312$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.0232930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked FUT Esports23c1,299$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7210331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed FUT Esports55c1,269$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9917347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a9…b878backed 3DMAX33c1,240$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed 3DMAX49c1,236$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.110167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports47c1,222$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 3DMAX61c1,150$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.851,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 3DMAX44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.45250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked FUT Esports45c1,106$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked FUT Esports51c1,086$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.634143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed FUT Esports53c1,043$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7261737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports56c1,029$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.611,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FUT Esports55c1,025$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.7560748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…b828backed FUT Esports54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8398…fe44backed 3DMAX1c1,000$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+1,975.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports55c964.64$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX64c900$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked FUT Esports66c891.45$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.7616146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed 3DMAX66c852.62$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.411166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FUT Esports53c828.33$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44135341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked 3DMAX32c825.39$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9720138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed FUT Esports56c820.29$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9911937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked FUT Esports55c780$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42926553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked FUT Esports55c776.11$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0413646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX46c750.02$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.841,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed 3DMAX60c716.67$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.677955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked 3DMAX43c708$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed 3DMAX44c656$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9892152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed FUT Esports56c639.98$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3984658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked FUT Esports75c630$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.525651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed 3DMAX27c606.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.494924.5%12 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed FUT Esports51c599.48$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8411361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports33c598.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.352,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports56c580.9$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.735,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed FUT Esports12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed 3DMAX45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed 3DMAX43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28524134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed FUT Esports30c497.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.519832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed 3DMAX45c463$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.318752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked 3DMAX47c459$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed 3DMAX45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked FUT Esports69c433.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed 3DMAX26c426.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3533553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked FUT Esports55c412.83$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7411452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.