TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb855…3332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST9832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$262
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$262
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$322.42
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$329.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$218.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$203.8
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+45.9%+$114.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$606.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$249
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+222.6%+$287.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$193
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.64
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$329
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$201.23
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.9%+$148.64
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$137.15
LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados (BO3) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Periquitos Zangados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.6%+$71.81
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$83.38
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$81.11
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$82.84
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$116.67
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$169.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$131
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$210
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.83
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$64.04
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44.25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$133.15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$180.98
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+36.1%+$45.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+68.5%+$89.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.