Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8281e26c88697c4b2d475c2760f8bdb48a7b3745f97e211a7e3036889c3d6cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Disguised, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 33,479$21,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,935.47 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Disguised | 35c | 21,120$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.86 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Disguised | 30c | 8,359$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.83 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 40c | 7,517$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 72c | 6,581$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.71 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Disguised | 37c | 6,137$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 38c | 5,903$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.18 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Disguised | 12c | 4,546$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.52 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid | 64c | 4,151$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.78 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Disguised | 34c | 3,242$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.07 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 3,185$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.08 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,888$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 66c | 2,432$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.88 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Disguised | 37c | 1,980$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.65 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,750$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Disguised | 35c | 1,714$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.67 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,543$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.5 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Disguised | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Disguised | 4c | 1,425$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Disguised | 33c | 1,424$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.03 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,410$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.51 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,356$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,257$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Disguised | 40c | 1,248$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 862.57$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Disguised | 31c | 857.07$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 33c | 846.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.41 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 25c | 822$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 812.41$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 791.02$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…74c1backed Disguised | 2c | 787.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Disguised | 28c | 720$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…4b86backed Disguised | 38c | 716.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 62c | 708.41$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.2 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 69c | 703.13$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…4c93backed Team Liquid | 78c | 657.13$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Disguised | 23c | 635$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed Team Liquid | 78c | 600$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 590$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…5236backed Disguised | 41c | 571$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Disguised | 30c | 569.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised | 31c | 554.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Liquid | 65c | 536.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Disguised | 32c | 529.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 508$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.34 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised | 44c | 502$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Disguised | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Liquid | 71c | 500$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Disguised | 37c | 500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 456$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Disguised | 18c | 449.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Disguised | 23c | 443.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…ce8cbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 441.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 74c | 439.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…55bbbacked Disguised | 41c | 434$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…fc38backed Team Liquid | 77c | 430.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…6c4bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 428$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…9ef3backed Disguised | 15c | 422.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Disguised | 26c | 407.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…b40dbacked Disguised | 41c | 402$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Disguised | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 364.85$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 308 | 56.5%174 W · 134 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 331$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…fc93backed Disguised | 41c | 324$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…e872backed Disguised | 42c | 321$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9f38backed Disguised | 42c | 321$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Disguised | 37c | 313.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…50b4backed Disguised | 42c | 307$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Team Liquid | 65c | 306.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…30c6backed Team Liquid | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Disguised | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Disguised | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…e3a2backed Disguised | 11c | 299.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…9313backed Disguised | 40c | 291$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b384backed Team Liquid | 59c | 289$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e9…9a92backed Disguised | 40c | 283$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2951backed Disguised | 42c | 279$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…6706backed Disguised | 41c | 275$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…0ce3backed Team Liquid | 58c | 271$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ff55backed Team Liquid | 60c | 271$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…3df8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 266$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…b618backed Disguised | 20c | 264.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Disguised | 37c | 252$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…3045backed Disguised | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Disguised | 31c | 249.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Team Liquid | 80c | 248.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…6705backed Team Liquid | 58c | 247$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…5cf2backed Disguised | 40c | 246$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…50b9backed Team Liquid | 59c | 243$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…964fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 238$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…1413backed Team Liquid | 60c | 235$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe431…0444backed Team Liquid | 58c | 223$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6907…582fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 217$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 212$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.